President Donald Trump has predicted that Greenland will be under U.S. control by the time he leaves office in January 2029. This prediction was made during an audio interview with Real America’s Voice host Steve Gruber, who told Trump, ‘I made a prediction on this program that before you left office, that Greenland would be under our operational control.’ Trump responded, ‘You’ll be right. They want to do something…You should make that bet.’ Trump has fiercely pushed to acquire the semi-autonomous Danish territory in the Arctic since before he returned to the Oval Office, citing national security concerns.
He believes that if the US does not acquire the territory, American adversaries such as Russia and China will. This move has strained America’s relationship with its European allies, who see it as a threat to Greenlanders’ sovereignty. Tensions over Greenland reached a boiling point in January when Trump threatened to impose a 10 percent tariff on goods imported from several European allies, including Denmark, unless a deal was reached for the ‘complete and total purchase of Greenland.’ However, tensions seemed to subside days later when Trump announced he would not impose the tariffs after a ‘very productive’ meeting with NATO chief Mark Rutte, in which they ‘formed the framework of a future deal with respect to Greenland.’ Despite Trump’s confidence, traders on prediction markets are skeptical.
There’s just a four percent chance on Polymarket that Trump will acquire Greenland before 2027. On Kalshi, there’s just a 6.8 percent chance the US will acquire any new territory before 2027, though the odds are slightly better on a longer timeline. There’s a 22 percent chance the US will acquire a new territory before Trump’s term ends on January 20, 2029.


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